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GLDBearish

GLD Short Call — Sep 18, 2026

short_callTrade Idea

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$371.90

Entry Price

$296.00

Target Price

$148.00

Stop Loss

$592.00

Expiration

Sep 18, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 409C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio1:276.35 (reward:risk)
Risk: $81800.00Reward: $296.00

Max Loss

$81800.00

Max Profit

$296.00

Analysis

GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) presents a short call opportunity with moderately elevated implied volatility. IV Rank 31. IV 2492.0% trades 383.0pp above 30-day HV (2109.0%). This setup favors net premium sellers.

Sell the $409 call for $2.96 credit. Naked single-leg exposure; collect premium from time decay if GLD stays below the strike. Underlying ~$371.43, 56 DTE. Max profit $296 per contract, max loss $81800, 0.4% return on risk, 85% POP. Breakeven at $411.96.

Management: take profit at ~50% of max profit ($148). Cut at 2x credit ($592 loss). If short strike is breached with > 14 DTE, consider rolling out for a credit. Close before expiration week to avoid gamma risk.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: GLD @ ~$373.06 Expiration: Sep 18, 2026 (56 DTE) Net credit (entry): ~$296.00 per spread Legs:

  • Sell GLD Sep 18, 2026 $409 Call (delta 0.15, mid $2.96)

Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse. Verify bid-ask spread (currently ~6.1% of mid) before sending.

Management Plan

Take profit at 50% of max profit ($148). Cut loss if position reaches 2x credit received ($592 loss). Roll if tested with > 14 DTE remaining.