MRK Iron Butterfly — Nov 20, 2026
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$763.00
Entry Price
$763.00
Target Price
$381.50
Stop Loss
$1526.00
Expiration
Nov 20, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 145P / Buy 135P / Sell 145C / Buy 155C
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$237.00
Max Profit
$763.00
Analysis
MRK (Merck & Company, Inc. Common Stock (new)) presents a iron butterfly opportunity with very elevated implied volatility. IV Rank 93. IV 3832.0% trades 1665.0pp above 30-day HV (2167.0%). This setup favors net premium sellers.
Sell the $145 ATM put and the $145 ATM call simultaneously (both at the same strike near the underlying), with long wings further out for defined risk. Higher max profit than a condor but a tighter profit window — ideal when you expect a stalling move into expiration. Underlying ~$145.60, 39 DTE. Max profit $763 per contract, max loss $237, 321.9% return on risk, 25% POP. Breakevens at $137.37 and $152.63.
Management: take profit at ~50% of max profit ($382). Cut at 2x credit ($1526 loss). If short strike is breached with > 14 DTE, consider rolling out for a credit. Close before expiration week to avoid gamma risk.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: MRK @ ~$145.60 Expiration: Nov 20, 2026 (39 DTE) Net credit (entry): ~$763.00 per spread Legs:
- Sell MRK Nov 20, 2026 $145 Put (delta -0.47, mid $6.13)
- Buy MRK Nov 20, 2026 $135 Put (delta -0.24, mid $2.42)
- Sell MRK Nov 20, 2026 $145 Call (delta 0.53, mid $7.03)
- Buy MRK Nov 20, 2026 $155 Call (delta 0.31, mid $3.10)
Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse. Verify bid-ask spread (currently ~4.5% of mid) before sending.
Management Plan
Take profit at 50% of max profit ($382). Cut loss if position reaches 2x credit received ($1526 loss). Roll if tested with > 14 DTE remaining.

