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PBRBullish

PBR Short Put — Sep 18, 2026

short_putTrade Idea

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$16.50

Entry Price

$16.50

Target Price

$8.25

Stop Loss

$33.00

Expiration

Sep 18, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 17P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio1:102.03 (reward:risk)
Risk: $1683.50Reward: $16.50

Max Loss

$1683.50

Max Profit

$16.50

Analysis

PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras ADS) presents a short put opportunity with elevated implied volatility. IV Rank 58. IV 31404.0% trades 28646.0pp above 30-day HV (2758.0%). This setup favors net premium sellers.

Sell the $17 put for $0.17 credit. Naked single-leg exposure; collect premium from time decay if PBR stays above the strike. Underlying ~$17.96, 30 DTE. Max profit $17 per contract, max loss $1684, 1.0% return on risk, 85% POP. Breakeven at $16.84.

Management: take profit at ~50% of max profit ($8). Cut at 2x credit ($33 loss). If short strike is breached with > 14 DTE, consider rolling out for a credit. Close before expiration week to avoid gamma risk.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: PBR @ ~$17.96 Expiration: Sep 18, 2026 (30 DTE) Net credit (entry): ~$16.50 per spread Legs:

  • Sell PBR Sep 18, 2026 $17 Put (delta -0.15, mid $0.17)

Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse. Verify bid-ask spread (currently ~6.1% of mid) before sending.

Management Plan

Take profit at 50% of max profit ($8). Cut loss if position reaches 2x credit received ($33 loss). Roll if tested with > 14 DTE remaining.