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QQQBearish

QQQ Short Call — Dec 18, 2026

short_callTrade Idea

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$718.36

Entry Price

$417.50

Target Price

$208.75

Stop Loss

$835.00

Expiration

Dec 18, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 781C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio1:374.13 (reward:risk)
Risk: $156200.00Reward: $417.50

Max Loss

$156200.00

Max Profit

$417.50

Analysis

QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1) presents a short call opportunity with elevated implied volatility. IV Rank 61. IV 2440.0% trades 549.0pp above 30-day HV (1891.0%). This setup favors net premium sellers.

Sell the $781 call for $4.17 credit. Naked single-leg exposure; collect premium from time decay if QQQ stays below the strike. Underlying ~$734.00, 60 DTE. Max profit $418 per contract, max loss $156200, 0.3% return on risk, 85% POP. Breakeven at $785.17.

Management: take profit at ~50% of max profit ($209). Cut at 2x credit ($835 loss). If short strike is breached with > 14 DTE, consider rolling out for a credit. Close before expiration week to avoid gamma risk.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: QQQ @ ~$734.00 Expiration: Dec 18, 2026 (60 DTE) Net credit (entry): ~$417.50 per spread Legs:

  • Sell QQQ Dec 18, 2026 $781 Call (delta 0.15, mid $4.17)

Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse. Verify bid-ask spread (currently ~1.2% of mid) before sending.

Management Plan

Take profit at 50% of max profit ($209). Cut loss if position reaches 2x credit received ($835 loss). Roll if tested with > 14 DTE remaining.