WMT Iron Butterfly — Sep 18, 2026
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$629.00
Entry Price
$629.00
Target Price
$314.50
Stop Loss
$1258.00
Expiration
Sep 18, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 115P / Buy 105P / Sell 115C / Buy 125C
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$371.00
Max Profit
$629.00
Analysis
WMT (Walmart Inc. - Common Stock) presents a iron butterfly opportunity with elevated implied volatility. IV Rank 60. IV 2182.0% trades 503.0pp above 30-day HV (1679.0%). This setup favors net premium sellers.
Sell the $115 ATM put and the $115 ATM call simultaneously (both at the same strike near the underlying), with long wings further out for defined risk. Higher max profit than a condor but a tighter profit window — ideal when you expect a stalling move into expiration. Underlying ~$115.27, 30 DTE. Max profit $629 per contract, max loss $371, 169.5% return on risk, 24% POP. Breakevens at $108.71 and $121.29.
Management: take profit at ~50% of max profit ($315). Cut at 2x credit ($1258 loss). If short strike is breached with > 14 DTE, consider rolling out for a credit. Close before expiration week to avoid gamma risk.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: WMT @ ~$115.27 Expiration: Sep 18, 2026 (30 DTE) Net credit (entry): ~$629.00 per spread Legs:
- Sell WMT Sep 18, 2026 $115 Put (delta -0.41, mid $3.08)
- Buy WMT Sep 18, 2026 $105 Put (delta -0.10, mid $0.51)
- Sell WMT Sep 18, 2026 $115 Call (delta 0.59, mid $5.00)
- Buy WMT Sep 18, 2026 $125 Call (delta 0.23, mid $1.27)
Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse. Verify bid-ask spread (currently ~4.4% of mid) before sending.
Management Plan
Take profit at 50% of max profit ($315). Cut loss if position reaches 2x credit received ($1258 loss). Roll if tested with > 14 DTE remaining.

