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ETHABullish

ETHA Bull Put Credit Spread — 2026-09-04

put_credit_spreadMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$12.00

Entry Price

$12.00

Target Price

$6.00

Stop Loss

$38.00

Expiration

Sep 4, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 15P / Buy 14.5P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio3.17:1
Risk: $38.00Reward: $12.00

Max Loss

$38.00

Max Profit

$12.00

Analysis

ETHA (iShares Ethereum Trust ETF) shows bullish unusual options activity: $60K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 5.1x on the 15.5 call. We fade this by SELLING premium on the other side: the trade profits from time decay as long as ETHA stays above $15 through expiration. IV rank is 13 (low) — rather than sell naked premium at this IV, this is defined as a bull put credit spread (short $15 / long $14.5) so max loss is capped. Sell the $15 / buy the $14.5 put bull put credit spread expiring 2026-09-04 (16 DTE) for a net credit of $0.12 ($12 per spread). Breakeven at $14.88; net delta 0.09.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: ETHA @ ~$15.86 | 2026-09-04 (16 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$12 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Sell the $15 / buy the $14.5 put credit spread expiring 2026-09-04 (16 DTE) as ONE order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target credit $12 on a $0.5 -wide spread. IV rank 13 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. Don't leg in. Gamma: dealer gamma is POSITIVE (vol-suppressing) — spot tends to pin/mean-revert, so a briefly-tested strike often reverts; don't over-adjust on the first touch; put wall (support) at $15; call wall (resistance) at $16. | TAKE PROFIT: Buy the spread back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $12 max credit (close near $6 remaining). Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near ETHA's short strike(s) — currently 16 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Defined risk — max loss $38, so let it run to ~50% rather than scalping tiny. | IF TESTED: If ETHA tests the $15 short put (delta ~0.30) or the loss reaches ~$24 (≈2× credit), roll the WHOLE spread DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a net credit — the lone-vertical play is roll-down-and-out or close (there's no untested side to roll in until you add a call spread). Treat a close below the $15 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). If price knifes past the $14.5 long put, the spread is at/near max loss ($38) — take it rather than hoping. Breakeven $14.88. | MAXIMIZE: Winning cleanly above $15? Let theta close it toward 50%. To improve it, roll the spread UP toward the money in the next cycle for a fatter credit once most of this credit is banked, or add a bear call spread above the market to convert into an iron condor and double the premium if the flow turns two-sided.