GOOG Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-09-25
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$97.00
Entry Price
$97.00
Target Price
$48.50
Stop Loss
$153.00
Expiration
Sep 25, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 330P / Buy 327.5P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$153.00
Max Profit
$97.00
Analysis
GOOG (Alphabet Inc. - Class C Capital Stock): $591K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 14 (low). Our gamma model reads GOOG in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -45.7M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $330P / buy $327.5P) expiring 2026-09-25 (23 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $97, max loss $153 (defined risk). Breakevens $329.03.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: GOOG @ ~$333.75 | 2026-09-25 (23 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$97 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $330 put, buy the further-OTM $327.5 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-09-25 (23 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $97. IV rank 14 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($153). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $97 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near GOOG's short strike(s) — currently 23 DTE, so plan the exit 2 day(s) out. Above $330 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $329.03. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When GOOG tests the $330 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$194, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $330 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $330; call wall (resistance) at $340. If price reaches the $327.5 wing, you're at max loss ($153) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $330? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.

