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IBITBearish

IBIT Long Put — 2026-08-21

long_putMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$36.70

Entry Price

$109.00

Target Price

$163.50

Stop Loss

$54.50

Expiration

Aug 21, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Buy 36.5P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ration/a

Max Loss

$109.00

Analysis

IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) shows bearish unusual options activity: $184K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 0.8x on the 39 put. IV rank is 14 (low) — cheap enough to buy the naked long put outright for full convexity. Buy the $36.5 put expiring 2026-08-21 (22 DTE) at mid $1.09 per share ($109 per contract). Breakeven at $35.41; net delta 0.45.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: IBIT @ ~$36.72 | 2026-08-21 (22 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$109 per contract. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.

Management Plan

MAX LOSS: Limited to the premium paid ($109 per contract). This is a defined-risk debit trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 14 — reasonable for buying options. | TIMING: 22 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: IBIT is in Other — avoid concentration with other open Other positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse. Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EVENTS: Check for upcoming earnings, FDA decisions, or macro prints within the trade window that could cause outsized gap risk.