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INTC Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-08-31

broken_wing_putMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$102.50

Entry Price

$95.00

Target Price

$47.50

Stop Loss

$105.00

Expiration

Aug 31, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 104P / Buy 102P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio1.11:1
Risk: $105.00Reward: $95.00

Max Loss

$105.00

Max Profit

$95.00

Analysis

INTC (Intel Corporation - Common Stock): $1037K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 37 (moderate). Our gamma model reads INTC in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -0.7M, flip 105.19) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $104P / buy $102P) expiring 2026-08-31 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $95, max loss $105 (defined risk). Breakevens $103.05.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: INTC @ ~$104.93 | 2026-08-31 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$95 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $104 put, buy the further-OTM $102 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-08-31 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $95. IV rank 37 is moderate — credit is workable but define risk and don't oversize. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($105). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $95 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near INTC's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Above $104 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $103.05. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When INTC tests the $104 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$190, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $106 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $106; call wall (resistance) at $107. If price reaches the $102 wing, you're at max loss ($105) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $104? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.