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IWMBearish

IWM Broken-Wing Bear Call — 2026-09-30

broken_wing_callMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$109.00

Entry Price

$109.00

Target Price

$54.50

Stop Loss

$91.00

Expiration

Sep 30, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 285C / Buy 287C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio0.83:1
Risk: $91.00Reward: $109.00

Max Loss

$91.00

Max Profit

$109.00

Analysis

IWM (iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund): $4868K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant), IV rank 29 (low). Our gamma model reads IWM in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -499.1M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bear Call (sell $285C / buy $287C) expiring 2026-09-30 (15 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $109, max loss $91 (defined risk). Breakevens $286.10.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: IWM @ ~$284.77 | 2026-09-30 (15 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$109 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing call spread: sell the $285 call, buy the further-OTM $287 call with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-09-30 (15 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $109. IV rank 29 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes downside risk while collecting a credit; the upside gap is the residual max loss ($91). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $109 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near IWM's short strike(s) — currently 15 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Below $285 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail. Breakeven $286.10. | IF TESTED: The risk is a sharp rally into the wide wing. When IWM tests the $285 short call (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$218, roll the structure UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long call to square the wing into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close above the $285 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $285; call wall (resistance) at $285. If price reaches the $287 wing, you're at max loss ($91) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding below $285? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll down toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or add a put spread to convert into an iron condor if flow turns two-sided.