IWM Broken-Wing Bear Call — 2026-09-30
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$289.00
Entry Price
$289.00
Target Price
$144.50
Stop Loss
$712.00
Expiration
Sep 30, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 285C / Buy 295C
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$712.00
Max Profit
$289.00
Analysis
IWM (iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund): $18317K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant), IV rank 30 (low). Our gamma model reads IWM in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -819.0M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bear Call (sell $285C / buy $295C) expiring 2026-09-30 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $289, max loss $712 (defined risk). Breakevens $287.89.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: IWM @ ~$282.68 | 2026-09-30 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$289 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing call spread: sell the $285 call, buy the further-OTM $295 call with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-09-30 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $289. IV rank 30 is moderate — credit is workable but define risk and don't oversize. The skew removes downside risk while collecting a credit; the upside gap is the residual max loss ($712). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $289 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near IWM's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Below $285 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail. Breakeven $287.89. | IF TESTED: The risk is a sharp rally into the wide wing. When IWM tests the $285 short call (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$578, roll the structure UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long call to square the wing into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close above the $285 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $285; call wall (resistance) at $285. If price reaches the $295 wing, you're at max loss ($712) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding below $285? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll down toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or add a put spread to convert into an iron condor if flow turns two-sided.

