MARA Bear Put Spread — 2026-07-17
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$12.25
Entry Price
$27.50
Target Price
$41.25
Stop Loss
$13.75
Expiration
Jul 17, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Buy 14P / Sell 13.5P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$27.50
Analysis
MARA (MARATHON PATENT GROUP INC) shows bearish unusual options activity: $2158K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 10.4x on the 14.5 put. IV rank is 31 (moderate) — a bear put spread (14/13.5) trims theta/vega bleed versus a naked long. Buy the $14 / sell the $13.5 put bear put spread expiring 2026-07-17 (17 DTE) for a net debit of $0.27 ($27 per spread). Breakeven at $13.72; net delta 0.08.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: MARA @ ~$14.15 | 2026-07-17 (17 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$28 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.
Management Plan
MAX LOSS: Limited to the net debit ($27 per spread). Max gain is capped at the strike width minus the debit — a defined-risk, defined-reward trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 31 — reasonable for a debit spread. | TIMING: 17 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: MARA is in Other — avoid concentration with other open Other positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse on the spread (don't leg in). Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EVENTS: Check for upcoming earnings, FDA decisions, or macro prints within the trade window that could cause outsized gap risk.

