NFLX Broken-Wing Bear Call — 2026-11-06
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$29.00
Entry Price
$29.00
Target Price
$14.50
Stop Loss
$71.00
Expiration
Nov 6, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 67C / Buy 68C
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$71.00
Max Profit
$29.00
Analysis
NFLX (Netflix, Inc. - Common Stock): $221K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant), IV rank 13 (low). Our gamma model reads NFLX in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -3.4M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bear Call (sell $67C / buy $68C) expiring 2026-11-06 (16 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $29, max loss $71 (defined risk). Breakevens $67.29.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: NFLX @ ~$65.29 | 2026-11-06 (16 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$29 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing call spread: sell the $67 call, buy the further-OTM $68 call with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-11-06 (16 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $29. IV rank 13 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes downside risk while collecting a credit; the upside gap is the residual max loss ($71). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $29 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near NFLX's short strike(s) — currently 16 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Below $67 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail. Breakeven $67.29. | IF TESTED: The risk is a sharp rally into the wide wing. When NFLX tests the $67 short call (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$58, roll the structure UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long call to square the wing into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close above the $67 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $65; call wall (resistance) at $67. If price reaches the $68 wing, you're at max loss ($71) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding below $67? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll down toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or add a put spread to convert into an iron condor if flow turns two-sided.

