NKE Bull Put Credit Spread — 2026-10-23

NKE (Nike, Inc. Common Stock) shows bullish unusual options activity: $727K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 4.8x on the 35 call. We fade this by SELLING premium on the other side: the trade profits from time decay as long as NKE stays above $33.5 through expiration. IV rank is 33 (moderate) — rather than sell naked premium at this IV, this is defined as a bull put credit spread (short $33.5 / long $33) so max loss is capped. Sell the $33.5 / buy the $33 put bull put credit spread expiring 2026-10-23 (17 DTE) for a net credit of $0.17 ($17 per spread). Breakeven at $33.33; net delta 0.08.

Underlying: NKE @ ~$34.37 | 2026-10-23 (17 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$17 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

ENTRY: Sell the $33.5 / buy the $33 put credit spread expiring 2026-10-23 (17 DTE) as ONE order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target credit $17 on a $0.5 -wide spread. IV rank 33 is moderate — credit is workable but define risk and don't oversize. Don't leg in. Gamma: dealer gamma is POSITIVE (vol-suppressing) — spot tends to pin/mean-revert, so a briefly-tested strike often reverts; don't over-adjust on the first touch; put wall (support) at $34; call wall (resistance) at $34. | TAKE PROFIT: Buy the spread back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $17 max credit (close near $9 remaining). Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near NKE's short strike(s) — currently 17 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Defined risk — max loss $33, so let it run to ~50% rather than scalping tiny. | IF TESTED: If NKE tests the $33.5 short put (delta ~0.30) or the loss reaches ~$34 (≈2× credit), roll the WHOLE spread DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a net credit — the lone-vertical play is roll-down-and-out or close (there's no untested side to roll in until you add a call spread). Treat a close below the $34 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). If price knifes past the $33 long put, the spread is at/near max loss ($33) — take it rather than hoping. Breakeven $33.33. | MAXIMIZE: Winning cleanly above $33.5? Let theta close it toward 50%. To improve it, roll the spread UP toward the money in the next cycle for a fatter credit once most of this credit is banked, or add a bear call spread above the market to convert into an iron condor and double the premium if the flow turns two-sided.