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NVDABullish

NVDA Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-11-23

broken_wing_putMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$178.67

Entry Price

$212.00

Target Price

$106.00

Stop Loss

$288.00

Expiration

Nov 23, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 175P / Buy 170P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio1.36:1
Risk: $288.00Reward: $212.00

Max Loss

$288.00

Max Profit

$212.00

Analysis

NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock): $5889K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 86 (elevated). Our gamma model reads NVDA in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -3.8M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $175P / buy $170P) expiring 2026-11-23 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $212, max loss $288 (defined risk). Breakevens $172.88.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: NVDA @ ~$176.83 | 2026-11-23 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$212 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $175 put, buy the further-OTM $170 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-11-23 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $212. IV rank 86 is elevated — premium is rich, a good backdrop to SELL; any vol contraction adds to the win. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($288). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $212 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near NVDA's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Above $175 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $172.88. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When NVDA tests the $175 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$424, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $180 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $180; call wall (resistance) at $180. If price reaches the $170 wing, you're at max loss ($288) — take it. EARNINGS: a report (2026-11-17) falls inside this trade — the post-print IV crush helps a seller, but the gap can jump a short strike, so do NOT add size into the event and be ready to take the defined-risk loss if it gaps through. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $175? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.