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NVDABearish

NVDA Bear Put Spread — 2026-08-21

put_verticalMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$196.01

Entry Price

$115.00

Target Price

$172.50

Stop Loss

$57.50

Expiration

Aug 21, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Buy 192.5P / Sell 190P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ration/a

Max Loss

$115.00

Analysis

NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock) shows bearish unusual options activity: $14272K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (82% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 2.0x on the 180 put. IV rank is 67 (elevated) — too rich to buy a naked option into, so this is structured as a bear put spread (192.5/190) to cut vega and cost. Buy the $192.5 / sell the $190 put bear put spread expiring 2026-08-21 (23 DTE) for a net debit of $1.15 ($115 per spread). Breakeven at $191.35; net delta 0.05.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: NVDA @ ~$191.96 | 2026-08-21 (23 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$115 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.

Management Plan

MAX LOSS: Limited to the net debit ($115 per spread). Max gain is capped at the strike width minus the debit — a defined-risk, defined-reward trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 67 — elevated IV inflates premiums; a vol crush could erode value even if direction is correct (the short leg offsets some of this vega). | TIMING: 23 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: NVDA is in Technology — avoid concentration with other open Technology positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse on the spread (don't leg in). Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EVENTS: Check for upcoming earnings, FDA decisions, or macro prints within the trade window that could cause outsized gap risk.