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PCGBearish

PCG Short Call — 2026-09-18

short_callMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$32.00

Entry Price

$32.00

Target Price

$16.00

Stop Loss

$64.00

Expiration

Sep 18, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 15C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ration/a

Max Profit

$32.00

Analysis

PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Common Stock) shows bearish unusual options activity: $238K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 6.8x on the 13.5 put. We fade this by SELLING premium on the other side: the trade profits from time decay as long as PCG stays below $15 through expiration. IV rank is 91 (elevated) — rich enough that selling the naked short call collects a worthwhile credit for the risk. Sell the $15 call expiring 2026-09-18 (14 DTE) at mid $0.32 per share ($32 credit per contract). Breakeven at $15.32; net delta 0.31.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: PCG @ ~$14.02 | 2026-09-18 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$32 per contract. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Sell the $15 call expiring 2026-09-18 (14 DTE) at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target credit $32. IV rank 91 is elevated — premium is rich, a good backdrop to SELL; any vol contraction adds to the win. Enter with the short delta ~0.20–0.30. Gamma: dealer gamma is roughly neutral — no pin edge either way; put wall (support) at $14; call wall (resistance) at $13.5. Undefined upside risk — position size accordingly. | TAKE PROFIT: Buy the call back at ~25–50% of the $32 credit to LOCK IN gains (a naked call's tail is unlimited, so bank profits sooner than a spread). Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near PCG's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Close before expiration week — do not risk a gap through the short call. | IF TESTED: When the short-call delta reaches ~0.30 or the loss hits ~$64 (≈2× credit), roll the $15 call UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a net credit; if no credit roll is available, CONVERT to a call credit spread by buying a higher long call to cap the unlimited tail, or take the stop. Treat a close above the $13.5 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). Breakeven is $15.32. Watch ex-dividend dates for early-assignment risk. Undefined-risk structure — keep size small and honor the stop; do not let a naked tested strike run without a defined plan. | MAXIMIZE: If PCG stays well below $15, let it decay; after banking most of the credit you can roll the call DOWN toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or take the quick win and free up the margin.