RIOT Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-11-27
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$42.00
Entry Price
$42.00
Target Price
$21.00
Stop Loss
$59.00
Expiration
Nov 27, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 17P / Buy 16P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$59.00
Max Profit
$42.00
Analysis
RIOT (Riot Platforms, Inc. - Common Stock): $359K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 41 (moderate). Our gamma model reads RIOT in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -0.0M, flip 17.91) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $17P / buy $16P) expiring 2026-11-27 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $42, max loss $59 (defined risk). Breakevens $16.59.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: RIOT @ ~$17.27 | 2026-11-27 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$42 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $17 put, buy the further-OTM $16 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-11-27 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $42. IV rank 41 is moderate — credit is workable but define risk and don't oversize. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($59). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $42 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near RIOT's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Above $17 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $16.59. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When RIOT tests the $17 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$84, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $18 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $18; call wall (resistance) at $18. If price reaches the $16 wing, you're at max loss ($59) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $17? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.

