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Expired
SMCIBullish

SMCI Bull Call Spread — 2026-08-21

call_verticalMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$30.10

Entry Price

$40.00

Target Price

$60.00

Stop Loss

$20.00

Expiration

Aug 21, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Buy 32C / Sell 33C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ration/a

Max Loss

$40.00

Analysis

SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc. - Common Stock) shows bullish unusual options activity: $2186K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 0.6x on the 30 call. IV rank is 98 (elevated) — too rich to buy a naked option into, so this is structured as a bull call spread (32/33) to cut vega and cost. Buy the $32 / sell the $33 call bull call spread expiring 2026-08-21 (30 DTE) for a net debit of $0.40 ($40 per spread). Breakeven at $32.40; net delta 0.04. NOTE: earnings (2026-08-11) fall inside the trade window — premium will likely crush on the print; sized/structured defensively and not a hold-through-earnings idea.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: SMCI @ ~$31.20 | 2026-08-21 (30 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$40 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.

Management Plan

MAX LOSS: Limited to the net debit ($40 per spread). Max gain is capped at the strike width minus the debit — a defined-risk, defined-reward trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 98 — elevated IV inflates premiums; a vol crush could erode value even if direction is correct (the short leg offsets some of this vega). | TIMING: 30 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: SMCI is in Technology — avoid concentration with other open Technology positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse on the spread (don't leg in). Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EARNINGS: Report on 2026-08-11 lands inside this trade. Expect a vol crush on the print — this is structured as a spread for that reason; do not add size into the event.