SOFI Broken-Wing Bear Call — 2026-10-23
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$24.00
Entry Price
$24.00
Target Price
$12.00
Stop Loss
$77.00
Expiration
Oct 23, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 16C / Buy 17C
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$77.00
Max Profit
$24.00
Analysis
SOFI (SoFi Technologies, Inc. - Common Stock): $349K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant), IV rank 22 (low). Our gamma model reads SOFI in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -1.6M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bear Call (sell $16C / buy $17C) expiring 2026-10-23 (16 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $24, max loss $77 (defined risk). Breakevens $16.24.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: SOFI @ ~$15.59 | 2026-10-23 (16 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$24 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing call spread: sell the $16 call, buy the further-OTM $17 call with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-10-23 (16 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $24. IV rank 22 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes downside risk while collecting a credit; the upside gap is the residual max loss ($77). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $24 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near SOFI's short strike(s) — currently 16 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Below $16 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail. Breakeven $16.24. | IF TESTED: The risk is a sharp rally into the wide wing. When SOFI tests the $16 short call (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$48, roll the structure UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long call to square the wing into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close above the $16 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $16; call wall (resistance) at $16. If price reaches the $17 wing, you're at max loss ($77) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding below $16? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll down toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or add a put spread to convert into an iron condor if flow turns two-sided.

