SOFI Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-10-02
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$24.00
Entry Price
$24.00
Target Price
$12.00
Stop Loss
$76.00
Expiration
Oct 2, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 16.5P / Buy 15.5P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$76.00
Max Profit
$24.00
Analysis
SOFI (SoFi Technologies, Inc. - Common Stock): $312K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 5 (low). Our gamma model reads SOFI in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -1.6M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $16.5P / buy $15.5P) expiring 2026-10-02 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $24, max loss $76 (defined risk). Breakevens $16.26.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: SOFI @ ~$16.95 | 2026-10-02 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$24 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $16.5 put, buy the further-OTM $15.5 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-10-02 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $24. IV rank 5 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($76). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $24 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near SOFI's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Above $16.5 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $16.26. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When SOFI tests the $16.5 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$48, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $17 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $17; call wall (resistance) at $17.5. If price reaches the $15.5 wing, you're at max loss ($76) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $16.5? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.

