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SOFIBearish

SOFI Bear Call Credit Spread — 2026-11-13

call_credit_spreadMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$13.00

Entry Price

$13.00

Target Price

$6.50

Stop Loss

$37.00

Expiration

Nov 13, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 17.5C / Buy 18C

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio2.85:1
Risk: $37.00Reward: $13.00

Max Loss

$37.00

Max Profit

$13.00

Analysis

SOFI (SoFi Technologies, Inc. - Common Stock) shows bearish unusual options activity: $99K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 0.3x on the 16 put. We fade this by SELLING premium on the other side: the trade profits from time decay as long as SOFI stays below $17.5 through expiration. IV rank is 6 (low) — rather than sell naked premium at this IV, this is defined as a bear call credit spread (short $17.5 / long $18) so max loss is capped. Sell the $17.5 / buy the $18 call bear call credit spread expiring 2026-11-13 (14 DTE) for a net credit of $0.13 ($13 per spread). Breakeven at $17.63; net delta 0.10.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: SOFI @ ~$16.70 | 2026-11-13 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$13 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Sell the $17.5 / buy the $18 call credit spread expiring 2026-11-13 (14 DTE) as ONE order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target credit $13 on a $0.5 -wide spread. IV rank 6 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. Don't leg in. Gamma: dealer gamma is POSITIVE (vol-suppressing) — spot tends to pin/mean-revert, so a briefly-tested strike often reverts; don't over-adjust on the first touch; put wall (support) at $17; call wall (resistance) at $17. | TAKE PROFIT: Buy the spread back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $13 max credit (close near $7 remaining). Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near SOFI's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Defined risk — max loss $37. | IF TESTED: If SOFI tests the $17.5 short call (delta ~0.30) or the loss reaches ~$26 (≈2× credit), roll the WHOLE spread UP and OUT ~7–14 days for a net credit. Treat a close above the $17 call wall as the hard trigger to act (the resistance magnet has broken). If price blows past the $18 long call, the spread is at/near max loss ($37) — take it. Breakeven $17.63. | MAXIMIZE: Winning below $17.5? Let it decay toward 50%. To improve, roll the spread DOWN toward the money next cycle for a richer credit once most credit is banked, or sell a bull put spread below the market to convert into an iron condor and collect premium from both sides.