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SOFIBullish

SOFI Bull Put Credit Spread — 2026-11-13

put_credit_spreadMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$11.50

Entry Price

$11.50

Target Price

$5.75

Stop Loss

$38.50

Expiration

Nov 13, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Sell 16P / Buy 15.5P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ratio3.35:1
Risk: $38.50Reward: $11.50

Max Loss

$38.50

Max Profit

$11.50

Analysis

SOFI (SoFi Technologies, Inc. - Common Stock) shows bullish unusual options activity: $264K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 0.3x on the 17 call. We fade this by SELLING premium on the other side: the trade profits from time decay as long as SOFI stays above $16 through expiration. IV rank is -1 (low) — rather than sell naked premium at this IV, this is defined as a bull put credit spread (short $16 / long $15.5) so max loss is capped. Sell the $16 / buy the $15.5 put bull put credit spread expiring 2026-11-13 (16 DTE) for a net credit of $0.11 ($12 per spread). Breakeven at $15.88; net delta 0.09.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: SOFI @ ~$16.95 | 2026-11-13 (16 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$12 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.

Management Plan

ENTRY: Sell the $16 / buy the $15.5 put credit spread expiring 2026-11-13 (16 DTE) as ONE order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target credit $12 on a $0.5 -wide spread. IV rank -1 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. Don't leg in. Gamma: dealer gamma is POSITIVE (vol-suppressing) — spot tends to pin/mean-revert, so a briefly-tested strike often reverts; don't over-adjust on the first touch; put wall (support) at $17; call wall (resistance) at $17. | TAKE PROFIT: Buy the spread back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $12 max credit (close near $6 remaining). Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near SOFI's short strike(s) — currently 16 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Defined risk — max loss $39, so let it run to ~50% rather than scalping tiny. | IF TESTED: If SOFI tests the $16 short put (delta ~0.30) or the loss reaches ~$23 (≈2× credit), roll the WHOLE spread DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a net credit — the lone-vertical play is roll-down-and-out or close (there's no untested side to roll in until you add a call spread). Treat a close below the $17 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). If price knifes past the $15.5 long put, the spread is at/near max loss ($39) — take it rather than hoping. Breakeven $15.88. | MAXIMIZE: Winning cleanly above $16? Let theta close it toward 50%. To improve it, roll the spread UP toward the money in the next cycle for a fatter credit once most of this credit is banked, or add a bear call spread above the market to convert into an iron condor and double the premium if the flow turns two-sided.