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SPYBearish

SPY Bear Put Spread — 2026-08-21

put_verticalMarket Signal

Trade Setup

Current Stock Price

$737.36

Entry Price

$31.00

Target Price

$46.50

Stop Loss

$15.50

Expiration

Aug 21, 2026

Suggested Contracts

1

Strike Details

Buy 732P / Sell 731P

Risk / Reward

Risk/Reward Ration/a

Max Loss

$31.00

Analysis

SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) shows bearish unusual options activity: $51194K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 3.5x on the 735 put. IV rank is 48 (moderate) — a bear put spread (732/731) trims theta/vega bleed versus a naked long. Buy the $732 / sell the $731 put bear put spread expiring 2026-08-21 (23 DTE) for a net debit of $0.31 ($31 per spread). Breakeven at $731.69; net delta 0.01.

Setup Instructions

Underlying: SPY @ ~$732.33 | 2026-08-21 (23 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$31 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.

Management Plan

MAX LOSS: Limited to the net debit ($31 per spread). Max gain is capped at the strike width minus the debit — a defined-risk, defined-reward trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 48 — reasonable for a debit spread. | TIMING: 23 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: SPY is in ETF — avoid concentration with other open ETF positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse on the spread (don't leg in). Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EVENTS: Check for upcoming earnings, FDA decisions, or macro prints within the trade window that could cause outsized gap risk.