TSLA Broken-Wing Bull Put — 2026-09-16
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$393.00
Entry Price
$393.00
Target Price
$196.50
Stop Loss
$608.00
Expiration
Sep 16, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Sell 350P / Buy 340P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$608.00
Max Profit
$393.00
Analysis
TSLA (Tesla, Inc. - Common Stock): $5909K of buyer-initiated unusual call flow (100% call-dominant), IV rank 16 (low). Our gamma model reads TSLA in a NEGATIVE-gamma regime (net GEX -15.2M, flip —) — dealers are short gamma and amplify moves, so this is defined-risk only and leans with the flow. Structured as a Broken-Wing Bull Put (sell $350P / buy $340P) expiring 2026-09-16 (14 DTE) — negative-gamma (trend/gap risk) → defined-risk broken-wing leaning with flow. Net credit $393, max loss $608 (defined risk). Breakevens $346.08.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: TSLA @ ~$352.73 | 2026-09-16 (14 DTE) | Net credit (entry): ~$393 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly better.
Management Plan
ENTRY: Put on the broken-wing put spread: sell the $350 put, buy the further-OTM $340 put with a WIDER gap on the far wing, expiring 2026-09-16 (14 DTE), as one order at a LIMIT of the mid or better — target net credit $393. IV rank 16 is low — premium is thin, so keep size small and lean on a defined-risk structure. The skew removes upside risk while collecting a credit; the downside gap is the residual max loss ($608). | TAKE PROFIT: Buy it back to LOCK IN gains at ~50% of the $393 credit. Also close on TIME: exit around 21 DTE regardless of P&L to sidestep the late-cycle gamma/pin risk near TSLA's short strike(s) — currently 14 DTE, so plan the exit 0 day(s) out. Above $350 the whole credit is yours — take profits, don't carry the tail into expiration. Breakeven $346.08. | IF TESTED: The risk is a hard drop into the wide wing. When TSLA tests the $350 short put (delta ~0.30) or loss ≈$786, roll the structure DOWN and OUT ~7–14 days for a credit, or buy an extra long put to square the wing back into a symmetric (fully defined) spread. Treat a close below the $350 put wall as the hard trigger to act (the pin support has failed). dealer gamma is NEGATIVE (vol-amplifying) — moves accelerate here, so defend one trigger EARLIER than usual and don't wait for the strike to go in-the-money; put wall (support) at $350; call wall (resistance) at $360. If price reaches the $340 wing, you're at max loss ($608) — take it. | MAXIMIZE: Holding above $350? Let theta collect the full credit. Once most is banked, roll up toward the money next cycle for a richer credit, or convert into an iron condor by adding a call spread if the flow turns two-sided.

