TSLA Bear Put Spread — 2026-07-17
Trade Setup
Current Stock Price
$393.45
Entry Price
$117.50
Target Price
$176.25
Stop Loss
$58.75
Expiration
Jul 17, 2026
Suggested Contracts
1
Strike Details
Buy 392.5P / Sell 390P
Risk / Reward
Max Loss
$117.50
Analysis
TSLA (TESLA MOTORS INC) shows bearish unusual options activity: $14248K of buyer-initiated unusual put flow (100% put-dominant) detected across near-term expirations, with a peak vol/OI ratio of 9.7x on the 380 put. IV rank is 35 (moderate) — a bear put spread (392.5/390) trims theta/vega bleed versus a naked long. Buy the $392.5 / sell the $390 put bear put spread expiring 2026-07-17 (15 DTE) for a net debit of $1.17 ($117 per spread). Breakeven at $391.32; net delta 0.03.
Setup Instructions
Underlying: TSLA @ ~$393.02 | 2026-07-17 (15 DTE) | Net debit (entry): ~$118 per spread. Use limit orders at the mid or slightly worse.
Management Plan
MAX LOSS: Limited to the net debit ($117 per spread). Max gain is capped at the strike width minus the debit — a defined-risk, defined-reward trade. | IV RISK: IV rank is 35 — reasonable for a debit spread. | TIMING: 15 DTE — unusual flow is a near-term signal; act promptly or the setup may stale. Close or take profit before expiration week to avoid gamma risk. | SECTOR: TSLA is in Consumer — avoid concentration with other open Consumer positions. | EXECUTION: Use limit orders at mid or slightly worse on the spread (don't leg in). Verify the bid-ask before sending; do not chase with market orders. | EVENTS: Check for upcoming earnings, FDA decisions, or macro prints within the trade window that could cause outsized gap risk.

