FED and Inflation – Part 3
CPI Index The Labor Department reported December’s consumer price index 1/12/22— and it wasn’t pretty. Inflation was up 7% YoY in December. The last time the CPI rose that quickly was 40 years ago, in 1982. The consumer-price-index (CPI) measures how much Americans...
1/7/21 Trade Ideas
Symbol: MSFT Direction: Bullish ; Strategy: Bull Put Credit spread Strike Selection: Buy 280 / Sell 290 Put in Feb-18'22 ( Premium received $2.4 per contract ) Probability of Profit: 80% (89% P50) Comments: IV Rank of 64% and -10% from its top is an attractive...
Fed and Market – Taper Tantrum
Taper Tantrum was in full force yesterday after the Fed Minutes came out at 2 PM (1/5/2021) with the Markets behaving like a child, even though the news about raising interest rates was already signaled on Dec 15th 2021 after the last Fed meeting. At this point it is...
Market Vs Media – Sell fear (This time its Omicron)
Sell the fear scenario plays out over and over again specially on CNBC. A crisis occurs... The facts on the ground change... Things start looking up... And yet, the media keeps beating on the "fear" drum for many more months – or perhaps even years. Housing crisis -...